Суэцкий канал, контейнеры, цены на нефть

Новости

Египетские власти ввели дополнительные меры безопасности на Суэцком канале. Усилен досмотр на паромах через Суэц, мост через канал закрыт. Власти опасаются диверсий.

Меры безопасности усилены после взрыва на газораспределительном терминале в Эль-Арише в субботу. Первоначально выдвигалась версия теракта. Теперь представители компании-оператора газопровода говорят, что взрыв был вызван утечкой газа.

Если беспорядки в Египте продолжатся, цена нефть может превысить $110 за баррель, прогнозируют аналитики в Кувейте. Цены на Brent уже выросли до $100 за баррель – впервые с 2008г.

Возможность закрытия Суэцкого канала пока рассматривается как весьма отдаленная и маловероятная перспектива. В то же время, такие прецеденты были – в 1656г. во время Суэцкого кризиса и в 1967г. после войны с Израилем.

Через Суэцкий канал проходит порядка 1,5 млн баррелей сырой нефти в день, через нефтепровод Sumed – 1 млн барр. в день. В сумме это соответствует от 2,5% до 4,5% мировой суточной потребности в нефти.

Волнения вызывает не только ситуация в Египте, но и то, что волнения могут перекинуться на страны региона, являющиеся крупными поставщиками нефти. Ближний Восток и Северная Африка обеспечивают порядка трети мировой добычи нефти.

Параллельно с ценами на нефть растут цены на продовольствие. О намерениях увеличить запасы заявили Саудовская Аравия, Алжир и ряд других стран региона.  Рост спроса ведет к росту цен, а рост цен – к росту недовольства населения.

Контейнерный операции на прошлой неделе начали нормализоваться, однако нехватка горючего и рабочей силы вызывает задержки с обработкой судов. Затоваривание контейнерных терминалов усиливается. Большинство площадок работают отграниченные часы – с 9-00 до 14-00. Таможня также работает полдня.

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